月末报告,现金流新闻和资产定价

C. Hong, Jialin Yu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们表明,股票市场定期和系统地通过月末报告接收有关公司基本面的信息,甚至在季度收益公告之前。这种现金流新闻集中在月初,影响公司公告、分析师修正和股票回报。利用现金流新闻的这种时间变化,我们展示了支持现金流新闻比贴现率新闻更持久的证据。个股回报率在月度公告发布后呈现出波动趋势。时间序列市场动量仅在以过去上半年的收益为条件时才存在,当过去的市场整体收益惊喜较大时,时间序列市场动量更强。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Month-End Reporting, Cash-Flow News, and Asset Pricing
We show that the stock market regularly and systematically receives information about company fundamentals through month-end reporting, even before the quarterly earnings announcement. Such cash-flow news concentrates at the beginning of a month and affects company announcements, analyst revisions, and stock returns. Using this time variation in cash-flow news, we show evidence supporting cash-flow news being more persistent than discount-rate news. Individual stock returns exhibit a post-monthly-announcement drift. Time series market momentum exists only when conditioning on past first-half month return, and is stronger when the past market-wide earnings surprise is bigger.
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