利用卫星信息预测el niÑo事件

N. Timofeyev, A. V. Yurovskiy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了1982-1983年和1997-1998年两次20世纪最强烈的El Niño事件的调查资料,并研究了1986-1995年期间的四个中等强度事件。在空间在线跟踪赤道海洋辐射过程动态的基础上,提出了一种提前16个月预测五个标准区域不同El Niño相位的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
USE OF SATELLITE INFORMATION IN THE PREDICTION OF EL NIÑO EVENTS
Materials from surveys of 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 are analyzed for the two most powerful El Niño events in the 20th century, and four medium-intensity events are examined for the period 1986–1995. On the basis of online tracking of the dynamics of radiation processes in the equatorial ocean from space, a method is proposed for predicting different El Niño phases in five standard regions for up to 16 months in advance.
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