制度质量是否影响撒哈拉以南非洲国家的FDI流入?

Daniel Fiodendji
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引用次数: 10

摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家面临的问题之一是投资水平低。然而,资本理论告诉我们,没有可观的资本积累,就不可能设想发展。这些国家解决这一资本问题的一个重要渠道是诉诸外国直接投资(FDI),特别是知道这种投资在几个亚洲国家的经济发展中发挥了相当大的作用。由于许多原因,撒哈拉以南非洲国家没有从这种类型的投资中获得足够的好处。其中之一是制度的质量。本文以1984年至2007年30个撒哈拉以南非洲国家为数据样本,采用不同的计量经济学方法研究了政治风险、制度质量和外国直接投资之间的联系。本文认为,根据各种制度质量指标,政府排名靠前的国家往往在吸引外国直接投资方面做得更好。在对横截面数据的实证分析中,本文发现,无论最小二乘和工具变量估计中使用的其他控制变量如何,一个国家机构质量的不同方面(腐败、法律和秩序、政府稳定性、投资概况、内部和外部冲突等)几乎总是显著的。通过使用互动方法,我们发现当东道国的制度质量足够低时,制度的进一步减少可能不会刺激,实际上甚至可能减少外国直接投资流入。此外,随着制度质量的提高,FDI流入量显著上升。自然资源对FDI的边际效应取决于资源的丰富程度;即,当一个国家是资源密集型国家时,自然资源对外国直接投资流入的边际效应增加。在非资源密集国家,自然资源可能更有效地吸引外国直接投资。研究结果表明,FDI东道国之间的制度质量竞争对自然资源水平不同的国家可能产生不同的影响。因此,一个国家从金融全球化中受益的能力及其对金融危机的脆弱性可能受到其国内机构和宏观经济框架质量的重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do Institutions Quality Affect FDI Inflows in Sub Saharan African Countries?
One of the problems which sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries are confronted with is the low level of investment. Yet, the theory of capital tells us that it is impossible to envisage development without a considerable accumulation of capital. An important channel through which those countries can solve this capital issue is to resort to foreign direct investment (FDI), especially knowing the considerable role such investment played in the development of the economy of several Asian countries. Sub-Saharan African countries have not benefited enough from such a type of investment form many reasons. One of them is the quality of institutions. This paper investigates the linkages between political risk, institutional quality and FDI using different econometric techniques for a data sample of 30 African Sub-Saharan countries from period 1984 to 2007. This paper argues that countries whose governments are highly ranked according to various indices of the quality of institutions tend to do better in attracting FDI. In an empirical analysis of cross-section data, the paper finds that different aspects of the quality of institutions of a country (corruption, law and order, government stability, profile of investment, internal and external conflicts etc...) are almost always significant, regardless of the other control variables that are used in the least-squares and instrumental variables estimation. By using the interaction approaches, we find that when a host country's institutions qualities are sufficiently low, a further decrease in institutions may not stimulate and, in fact, may even decrease FDI inflows. In addition, FDI inflows significantly rise as the institutions quality become better. We also find that the marginal effect of natural resources on FDI depends on the level of resources abundance; i.e., when a country is resource-intensive, the marginal effect of natural resource on FDI inflows increases. In the non resource-intensive countries, natural resources might be more effective to attract FDI. Our results suggest that the institutional quality competition between FDI host countries may have different impacts on countries with different natural resource levels. Thus, the ability of a country to benefit from financial globalization and its vulnerability to financial crises can be significantly affected by the quality of its domestic institutions and its macroeconomic framework.
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