蒙古:衡量产出缺口

Julia Bersch, Tara M. Sinclair
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文比较了几种不同方法对蒙古产出缺口的估计。特别注意到采矿在蒙古经济中的重要作用。我们发现,与传统的统计分解相比,产出和通货膨胀的Blanchard和quah型联合模型对蒙古的产出缺口提供了更稳健的估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mongolia: Measuring the Output Gap
This paper compares the output gap estimates for Mongolia based on a number of different methods. Special attention is paid to the substantial role of mining in the Mongolian economy. We find that a Blanchard and Quah-type joint model of output and inflation provides a more robust estimate of the output gap for Mongolia than the traditional statistical decompositions.
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