校际体育运动的现状与未来预测

James T. Morton, D. Pastore
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究预测未来NCAA一级FBS校际运动的问题。研究设计采用德尔菲法对一个专家小组进行调查,该小组由来自FBS机构的12名体育主管和副体育主管组成,经过三轮调查,以确定未来5到7年可能发生的问题,以及这些问题是否会对校际体育运作方式产生重大影响。研究结果揭示了未来5到7年可能出现的8个问题。其中四个问题与环境的经济部门有关,一个与法律部门有关,三个与社会文化有关。此外,专家小组认为,其中14个问题如果发生,将产生重大影响。建议是根据专家小组的预测提出的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Examination of the Present and Predictions for the Future of Intercollegiate Athletics
This study forecasts future issues in NCAA Division I FBS intercollegiate athletics.  The research design employed the Delphi technique to survey an expert panel, consisting of 12 athletic directors and associate athletic directors from FBS institutions, over three rounds to ascertain what issues are likely to occur over the next five to seven years and whether or not these issues will have a significant impact on the way intercollegiate athletics operates.  Results of the study revealed eight issues that were likely to occur over the next five to seven years.  Four of these issues related to the economic sector of the environment, one related to the legal sector, and three related to the sociocultural.  Further, 14 of the issues were rated by the expert panel as having a significant level of impact if they were to occur. Recommendations are made based on the forecasts by the expert panel. 
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