2019冠状病毒病、股市、汇率、油价、失业率、通货膨胀、地缘政治风险联系、金砖国家案例

Sudeshna Ghosh
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本章试图研究新冠肺炎疫情对金砖国家股市的影响。这将对金砖国家的投资组合配置产生重要影响。本章在现有文献中的主要贡献是,基于资本资产定价理论的多因素模型,研究了疫情与地缘政治指数的不确定性如何影响金砖国家的股票市场。此外,主要的宏观经济因素被用作控制变量。每日观测数据使用于2019年12月31日至2020年12月30日。基于分位数回归模型的结果表明,股票市场对疫情的反应是不对称的。本研究的政策含义是央行需要进行战略干预,以缓解危机时期的流动性挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19, Stock Market, Exchange Rate, Oil Prices, Unemployment, Inflation, Geopolitical Risk Nexus, the Case of the BRICS Nations
This chapter attempts to study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the stock markets of the BRICS nations. Such an exercise will have an important bearing on portfolio allocation in the context of the BRICS. The major contribution of the chapter in the extant literature is to examine based on the multifactor model of the capital asset pricing theory, how uncertainty owing to the pandemic interplay with the geopolitical index to impact the stock market of the BRICS. Further, the major macroeconomic factors are used as control variables. The daily observations were used from 31 December 2019 to 30 December 2020. The results based on the quantile regression model demonstrate the asymmetric response of the stock market to the pandemic. The policy implication that follows from this study is the need for strategic intervention of the central bank to ease the liquidity challenges in the crisis period.
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