{"title":"短期电力需求预测的广义回归神经网络集成","authors":"Grzegorz Dudek","doi":"10.1109/EPE.2017.7967256","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This work presents ensembles of general regression neural network for short-term electricity demand forecasting. Several types of ensembles are proposed which differ in the source of diversity of individual members. Diversity is generated using different subsets of training data, different subsets of features, randomly disrupted training data and randomly disrupted model parameters. Experimental study on several datasets demonstrates that ensemble learning leads to decreasing in forecast errors comparing to the mean errors of the base learners.","PeriodicalId":201464,"journal":{"name":"2017 18th International Scientific Conference on Electric Power Engineering (EPE)","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Ensembles of general regression neural networks for short-term electricity demand forecasting\",\"authors\":\"Grzegorz Dudek\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/EPE.2017.7967256\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This work presents ensembles of general regression neural network for short-term electricity demand forecasting. Several types of ensembles are proposed which differ in the source of diversity of individual members. Diversity is generated using different subsets of training data, different subsets of features, randomly disrupted training data and randomly disrupted model parameters. Experimental study on several datasets demonstrates that ensemble learning leads to decreasing in forecast errors comparing to the mean errors of the base learners.\",\"PeriodicalId\":201464,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2017 18th International Scientific Conference on Electric Power Engineering (EPE)\",\"volume\":\"11 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-05-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2017 18th International Scientific Conference on Electric Power Engineering (EPE)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/EPE.2017.7967256\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2017 18th International Scientific Conference on Electric Power Engineering (EPE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/EPE.2017.7967256","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Ensembles of general regression neural networks for short-term electricity demand forecasting
This work presents ensembles of general regression neural network for short-term electricity demand forecasting. Several types of ensembles are proposed which differ in the source of diversity of individual members. Diversity is generated using different subsets of training data, different subsets of features, randomly disrupted training data and randomly disrupted model parameters. Experimental study on several datasets demonstrates that ensemble learning leads to decreasing in forecast errors comparing to the mean errors of the base learners.