肯尼亚气候变化形势和水资源部门适应性管理措施

J. Nyika
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引用次数: 3

摘要

气候变化是全球社会经济发展和可持续环境管理面临的日益严峻的挑战。发展中国家的适应能力低,对这种现象的脆弱性高,受到的影响严重。本研究以肯尼亚为例,评估了一个发展中国家的气候变化情况、气候变化对水部门的影响以及提高气候变化适应能力的适应性应对。调查结果显示,肯尼亚目前正在经历气温和降雨量上升,未来的预测显示情况会更糟。然而,气候变率和变化因时间和空间而异。对水部门的突出影响包括水的数量波动和水质恶化。讨论了适应性响应,如水体环境的基础设施改造、利用模型预测气候变化不确定性和传播早期预警。它们的成功依赖于强有力的政策和制度来引导它们在肯尼亚的实施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Change Situation in Kenya and Measures Towards Adaptive Management in the Water Sector
Climate change is a growing challenge to socio-economic development and sustainable environmental management worldwide. Developing countries with low adaptive capacity and high vulnerability to the phenomena are affected severely. This study assessed the climate change situation in a developing country, its effects on the water sector and adaptive responses to improve climate change resilience using Kenya as a case study. Findings showed that Kenya is experiencing temperature and rainfall rises currently, and future projections showed an even worse situation. Climate variability and change however differed based on time and space. Highlighted effects on the water sector included fluctuations in its quantities and deterioration of its quality. Adaptive responses such as infrastructural modifications of water body environments, forecasting using models to predict climate change uncertainties and disseminating early warnings are discussed. Their success relies on strong policy and institutions to steer their implementation in Kenya.
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