在牛市和熊市中,收盘后股价反转的发生有何不同?

Chun-Li Tsai
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摘要

本文使用326家个体公司的盘中价格数据来研究牛市和熊市中股价盘中反转的发生情况有何不同。我们发现,前一天较大的高收盘价(低收盘价)价格差异之后的价格反转更有可能发生在牛市(熊市)中。基于这些发现,我们发现在牛市中基于较大的高收盘价差异的投资组合,以及在牛市和熊市中基于较小的低收盘价差异的投资组合都是有利可图的投资策略。特别是,在牛市中,基于采矿和服务行业较小的低收盘价差异的投资组合产生更高的回报;在熊市中,基于建筑、金融和零售贸易的收盘价差较小的投资组合可以获得更高的回报
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How does the Occurrence of Stock Price Reversals Following End-of-the- day Price Moves Differ in Bull and Bear Markets?
This paper uses intraday price data for 326 individual firms to examine how the occurrence of interday stock price reversals differs in bull and bear markets. We find that price reversals following the previous day’s larger high-to-close (low-to-close) price differences are more likely to occur in a bull (bear) market. Based on these findings, we find that the portfolios based on larger high-to-close price differences in the bull market, and portfolios based on smaller low-toclose price differences both in bull and bear markets are profitable investment strategies. In particularly, in bull markets, the portfolios based on smaller low-to-close price differences in the Mining and Service industries yield higher returns; in bear markets, portfolios based on smaller low-to-close price differences in Construction, Finance and Retail Trade yield higher returns
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