乌克兰战争对全球经济活动和通货膨胀的影响

FEDS Notes Pub Date : 2022-05-27 DOI:10.17016/2380-7172.3141

Dario Caldara, Sarah Conlisk, Matteo Iacoviello, Maddie Penn

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引用次数: 28

摘要

自俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来，全球地缘政治风险飙升。投资者、市场参与者和政策制定者预计，这场战争将拖累全球经济，同时推高通胀，不确定性和严重不利后果的风险大幅增加。作为这些担忧的一个例子，国际货币基金组织(imf) 2022年4月版的《世界经济展望》(World Economic Outlook)中有200多次提到“战争”这个词。

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The Effect of the War in Ukraine on Global Activity and Inflation

Global geopolitical risks have soared since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Investors, market participants, and policymakers expect that the war will exert a drag on the global economy while pushing up inflation, with a sharp increase in uncertainty and risks of severe adverse outcomes. As an example of these concerns, the April 2022 edition of the International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook contains more than 200 mentions of the word "war."

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FEDS Notes

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