财富不平等、网络拓扑与金融不稳定性

Thomas Hauner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出的问题是,如果两个在其他方面完全相同的经济体仅通过财富分配来区分,那么它们在应对随机冲击时是否同样稳定?本文提出了一个理论金融网络模型来理解财富不平等与金融危机之间的关系。在金融网络中,金融资产将个人资产和负债持有人联系起来,形成一个经济联系网。一个人的总连通性是由他们的程度来描述的,网络中连接的总体分布是通过程度分布来施加的——相当于财富分配,因为传入连接代表资产,传出连接代表负债。一个网络的拓扑结构随着财富不平等程度和总财富水平的变化而变化,模拟表明,它们共同决定了在某个个体遭遇随机的负收入冲击时的网络传染。随机网络模拟显示,财富不平等加剧会让富人网络变得更不稳定——以财务失败的个人比例或金融资产价值下降来衡量。随机网络模拟中,每个金融联系都是随机放置的。这些结果表明,积累资产及其分配在宏观金融稳定中具有独特的结构作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wealth Inequality, Network Topology and Financial Instability
This paper asks if two, otherwise identical, economies were distinguished only by their distributions of wealth, are they equally stable in response to a random shock? A theoretical financial network model is proposed to understand the relationship between wealth inequality and financial crises. In a financial network, financial assets link individual asset and liability holders to form a web of economic connections. The total connectivity of an individual is described by their degree, and the overall distribution of connections in the network is imposed through a degree distribution--equivalent to the wealth distribution as incoming connections represent assets and outgoing connections liabilities. A network's topology varies with the level of wealth inequality and total wealth and together, simulations show, they determine network contagion in the event of a random negative income shock to some individual. Random network simulations, whereby each financial connection is randomly placed, reveal that increasing wealth inequality makes a wealthy network less stable--as measured by the share of individuals failing financially or the decline in financial asset values. These results suggest a unique architectural role for accumulated assets and their distribution in macro-financial stability.
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