碳期货市场与全球金融、能源和商品期货市场的回报和波动溢出效应

Ziran Li, Mengchen Ji, H. Qiao, Shouyang Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

碳市场和全球经济的金融化使得碳排放配额价格波动容易受到国际冲击的影响,投资者和化石燃料消费企业的风险管理变得越来越复杂。本文在研究不同滞后长度的格兰杰因果检验遍历性的基础上,研究了碳期货价格与19个金融、能源和商品时间序列数据集之间的收益率和波动性传递。结果表明,碳期货市场与金融、能源和商品期货市场之间存在多重因果关系。碳期货市场与金融市场之间的联系尤为紧密。尽管不同阶段的溢出效应不同,但碳期货市场与这些市场之间的波动率联系比一般的收益联系更紧密、更强。此外,极端收益和风险对正常收益和风险也有显著的领先影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Return and Volatility Spillover between Carbon Futures Market and Global Financial, Energy and Commodity Futures Markets
Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity of the Granger causality test for different lag-lengths, this paper investigates the return and volatility transmission between carbon futures price and a data set of 19 financial, energy and commodity time series results show that there exists several causal relationships between carbon futures market and financial, energy and commodity futures markets. The connections between carbon futures market and financial markets are especially strong. Despite that spillovers in different phases are different, volatility linkage between carbon futures markets and these markets is closer and stronger than the return linkage in general. Moreover, extreme returns and risks also have significant leading impacts on regular returns and risks.
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