{"title":"碳期货市场与全球金融、能源和商品期货市场的回报和波动溢出效应","authors":"Ziran Li, Mengchen Ji, H. Qiao, Shouyang Wang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2613242","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity of the Granger causality test for different lag-lengths, this paper investigates the return and volatility transmission between carbon futures price and a data set of 19 financial, energy and commodity time series results show that there exists several causal relationships between carbon futures market and financial, energy and commodity futures markets. The connections between carbon futures market and financial markets are especially strong. Despite that spillovers in different phases are different, volatility linkage between carbon futures markets and these markets is closer and stronger than the return linkage in general. Moreover, extreme returns and risks also have significant leading impacts on regular returns and risks.","PeriodicalId":358877,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Microeconometric Models of Carbon Markets (Topic)","volume":"59 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Return and Volatility Spillover between Carbon Futures Market and Global Financial, Energy and Commodity Futures Markets\",\"authors\":\"Ziran Li, Mengchen Ji, H. Qiao, Shouyang Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.2613242\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity of the Granger causality test for different lag-lengths, this paper investigates the return and volatility transmission between carbon futures price and a data set of 19 financial, energy and commodity time series results show that there exists several causal relationships between carbon futures market and financial, energy and commodity futures markets. The connections between carbon futures market and financial markets are especially strong. Despite that spillovers in different phases are different, volatility linkage between carbon futures markets and these markets is closer and stronger than the return linkage in general. Moreover, extreme returns and risks also have significant leading impacts on regular returns and risks.\",\"PeriodicalId\":358877,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Microeconometric Models of Carbon Markets (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"59 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Microeconometric Models of Carbon Markets (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2613242\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Microeconometric Models of Carbon Markets (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2613242","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Return and Volatility Spillover between Carbon Futures Market and Global Financial, Energy and Commodity Futures Markets
Financialization of carbon market and global economy have made the fluctuation of carbon emission allowance prices vulnerable to international shocks and risk management become more and more complicated for both investors and fossil fuel consumption enterprises. Based on studying the ergodicity of the Granger causality test for different lag-lengths, this paper investigates the return and volatility transmission between carbon futures price and a data set of 19 financial, energy and commodity time series results show that there exists several causal relationships between carbon futures market and financial, energy and commodity futures markets. The connections between carbon futures market and financial markets are especially strong. Despite that spillovers in different phases are different, volatility linkage between carbon futures markets and these markets is closer and stronger than the return linkage in general. Moreover, extreme returns and risks also have significant leading impacts on regular returns and risks.