分析俄罗斯军事入侵乌克兰对欧洲国家能源独立的影响

M. Zgurovsky, M. Kravchenko, K. Boiarynova, O. Ilyash, K. Kopishynska, I. Pyshnograiev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

鉴于俄罗斯全面军事入侵乌克兰的影响,本文分析了欧洲国家的能源独立和能源供应问题。这一分析是基于作者提出的能源自由指数(Ief),该指数综合了能源潜力、能源平衡和能源发展等子指数。根据该指数的数值,形成了对全球142个国家的排名,并确定了欧盟国家和乌克兰在该排名中的位置。分析了旨在提高欧洲国家和乌克兰能源独立水平的措施。提出了供应多样化和加速向清洁能源过渡的主要措施。欧洲国家根据对俄罗斯能源禁运造成的经济和安全损失程度进行了分组。根据它们准备取代俄罗斯的能源资源和实施禁运的情况,已经确定了四组国家。分析了能源自由指数指标的动态及其对俄罗斯进口的依赖,并提出了降低这种依赖的措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the impact of Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine on the energy independence of European countries
The article presents an analysis of the problems of energy independence and energy supply of European countries, given the impact of Russia’s full-scale military invasion of Ukraine. This analysis is based on the Energy Freedom Index (Ief) developed by the authors, which aggregates sub-indices of energy potential, energy balance, and energy development. A rating of 142 countries of the world was formed according to the value of this index and the places of the EU countries and Ukraine in this rating were determined. Measures aimed at increasing the level of energy independence of European countries and Ukraine were analyzed. Diversification of supplies and accelerated transition to clean energy were proposed as the main measures. European countries have been clustered according to the level of economic and security losses due to the embargo on Russian energy resources. Four groups of countries have been identified in terms of their readiness to replace Russian energy resources and impose embargoes. The dynamics of the indicators of the energy freedom index and their dependence on Russian imports were analyzed, and measures to reduce this dependence were proposed.
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