机器学习中非线性复杂系统的预测分析

Po Zhang, Xiaozhe Wang, Ya-Gang Zhang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

学习就是从复杂的世界中构建模型的过程。机器学习涉及构建能够随着经验自动改进的计算机程序。机器学习借鉴了许多领域的概念和结果。显然,无论采用何种新的分析方法或技术手段,都必须对系统本身及其复杂性有清晰的认识,不断提高分析、操作和控制水平。本文将详细讨论非线性复杂系统的预测分析。我们主要利用灰色预测理论对数据序列进行预测,通常预测精度在90%以上。在2字母非线性复杂系统的符号预测中,随着符号序列长度的增加,灰色预测的精度必然会降低。但是在这里我们找到了一个至少在中短期内可以实现混沌同步的生成规则,我们可以用这种方式进行分析和预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting Analysis of Nonlinear Complex System in Machine Learning
Learning is the process of constructing a model from complex world. And machine learning is concerned with constructing computer programs that automatically improve with experience. Machine learning draws on concepts and results from many fields. Obviously, no matter what we adopt new analytical method or technical means, we must have a distinct recognition of system itself and its complexity, and increase continuously analysis, operation and control level. The forecasting analysis of nonlinear complex system will be discussed carefully in this paper. We are mainly using grey forecasting theory to forecast data sequences, and the usual forecast precision has exceeded 90%. In the symbolic forecast of 2-letters nonlinear complex system, the precision of grey forecasting certainly will decrease as the length of symbolic sequence is increasing. But in this place we have found a generating rule that may realize chaotic synchronization at least in short and medium term, and we can analysis and forecast in this way.
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