含刑法的毒品传播数学模型分析及其最优控制

Muhammad Hafiruddin, Fatmawati, Miswanto
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引用次数: 3

摘要

印度尼西亚政府通过刑法在毒品预防政策方面作出了各种努力。但是,执法官员仍然认为《麻醉品法》的目的是监禁,因此滥用药物被认为是一种犯罪行为。事实上,政府已经宣布2014年为通过康复拯救吸毒受害者的一年。本文提出并分析了一个具有刑法意义的毒品传播模型。然后以恢复努力的形式应用最优控制策略。在模型分析的基础上,我们发现了两种均衡,即不吸毒均衡和吸毒均衡。平衡的稳定性取决于基本繁殖数。如果人口的基本繁殖数大于1,吸毒成瘾者的蔓延就会持续下去。通过模拟可以看出,刑法对减少轻度吸毒成瘾者的数量和减少重度吸毒成瘾者的数量都有显著的影响。进一步,通过庞特里亚金极大值原理法确定了最优控制变量的存在性。有控制和无控制的模拟结果比较表明,康复努力可以减少吸毒成瘾者的传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical model analysis of a drug transmission with criminal law and its optimal control
The Indonesian government has made various efforts in drug prevention policies through criminal law. However, law enforcement officials still contemplate the Drugs Law is oriented towards imprisonment, so drug abuse is considered as a criminal act. In fact, the government has declared 2014 as the year to save the victims of drug abuse through rehabilitation. In this paper, a drug transmission model with the criminal law aspect is presented and analyzed. The optimal control strategy is then applied in the form of rehabilitation efforts. Based on the model analysis, we found two equilibriums, namely the drugs-free equilibrium and the drug addiction equilibrium. The stability of the equilibriums depends on the basic reproduction number. The spread of drug addicts persists in the population if the basic reproduction number greater than unity. Based on the simulation, it can be seen that criminal law give a significant impact to decrease the number of mild drug addicts and also the number of heavy levels of drug addicts. Furthermore, the existence of the optimal control variable is determined through the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle method. The comparison of simulation results with and without control shows that rehabilitation efforts can reduce drug addicts transmission.
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