泡沫与金融专业人士

U. Weitzel, C. Huber, J. Huber, Michael Kirchler, F. Lindner, Julia Elisabeth Rose
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引用次数: 56

摘要

金融市场的效率及其产生泡沫的可能性是学术和专业辩论的中心话题。然而,人们对金融专业人士对价格效率的贡献知之甚少。我们经营着116个实验市场,有412名专业人员和502名学生。我们发现,具有泡沫驱动因素(资本流入或初始资本高供给)的专业市场容易出现泡沫,尽管它们比学生市场更有效。在有学生的混合市场中,泡沫也会出现,但专业人士会起到价格稳定器的作用。我们表明,异质价格信念驱动定价过高,特别是在容易出现泡沫的市场环境中。作者们提供了一份互联网附录,可以在牛津大学出版社的网站上找到,就在最终发表论文的链接旁边。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bubbles and Financial Professionals
The efficiency of financial markets and their potential to produce bubbles are central topics in academic and professional debates. Yet, little is known about the contribution of financial professionals to price efficiency. We run 116 experimental markets with 412 professionals and 502 students. We find that professional markets with bubble drivers – capital inflows or high initial capital supply – are susceptible to bubbles, although they are more efficient than student markets. In mixed markets with students, bubbles also occur, but professionals act as price stabilizers. We show that heterogeneous price beliefs drive overpricing, especially in bubble-prone market environments. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.
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