The holt-winters multiplicative model of passengers’ traffic forecast of the Nigeria airports

This research work was carried out in response to the need as a result of increase in Nigeria population and the demand for air transport facilities, this research was carried out using the data of the Federal Airport Authority of Nigeria (FAAN) is a federal government agency, set up to manage every commercial airport in the country, as well as making sure that, it provides services to both the airlines and the passengers in the airports. FAAN has a total number of 23 airports out of which four are international airports, seven are domestic airports and twelve are other domestic airports with the total number of 75,879,653 passengers between Jan. 2003 and Dec. 2011. The passenge rs’ traffic of FAAN’s data of 2003 to 2011 was collected and forecasted using the NCSS computer package to generate the Holt-Winters multiplicative model with coefficient of determination, R 2 of 91.04 and the models was used to forecast for the years 2012 to 2019 using the model.