风险规避效用偏好下的保费界限及模糊保险模型

Y. Liu, Xiaozhong Li, Dan Wang, Lixin Cui
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引用次数: 0

摘要

传统上认为潜在损失是一个随机变量。近年来,特殊风险保险逐渐发展起来,但由于保险产品种类不断涌现,我们无法获得足够的历史数据。因此,用概率来处理这些保险问题有一定的局限性。本文基于可信度理论,将被保险人的潜在损失视为一个非负模糊变量。首先,我们证明了风险厌恶型决策者更喜欢具有相同期望值的固定风险而不是模糊风险。然后讨论了模糊损失下的可行价格区域。建立了模糊最优保险模型,并证明了止损保险是风险厌恶型决策者的最优策略。此外,还给出了求解最优免赔额的方程。最后,给出了一些特殊风险保险的数值例子来说明研究结论的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The bounds of premium and a fuzzy insurance model under risk aversion utility preference
The potential loss is traditionally considered as a random variable. In recent years, the special risk insurances have developed gradually, but we cannot obtain enough historical data because of the new types of insurance products. Therefore, using probability to deal with these insurance problems has certain limitations. In this paper, the potential loss of insured is considered as a nonnegative fuzzy variable based on credibility theory. Firstly, we prove that the risk averse decision makers prefer a fixed risk more than a fuzzy risk having the same expected value. Then the feasible price area under fuzzy loss is discussed. Moreover, a fuzzy optimal insurance model is established and the stop loss insurance is proved to be the optimal policy for the risk averse decision makers. In addition, the equation for solving the optimal deductible is given. Finally, some numerical examples of special risk insurances are given to illustrate the use of the research conclusions.
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