基于决策树的电视剧收视率分析与预测

Rui Hu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在影视产业高速发展的新时代,收视率作为评价影视作品的重要指标,是节目制作、编排、调整的重要参考,在影视产业中发挥着重要的作用。因此,有必要对电视剧的收视率进行预测,以辅助电视剧的制作和编排。本文选取2019年热门电视剧的相关信息,通过两种不同的决策树模型,分析播出时段、豆瓣评分、主要演员、导演、播出平台等六个因素对电视剧收视率的影响。在此基础上,本文通过多次实验对两种模型的实验结果进行比较,选择ID3决策树算法作为电视剧收视率的预测模型。结果表明,本文构建的预测模型效果良好,准确率可达84.05%,可用于电视剧收视率预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
TV Series Ratings Analysis and Prediction Based on Decision Tree
In the new era of the rapid development of the film and television industry, audience rating, as an important indicator for evaluating film and television works, and an important reference for program production, arrangement, adjustment, plays a significant role in the film and television industry. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the audience rating of TV series to assist the production and arrangement of TV series. This paper selects relevant information about popular TV series in 2019 to analyze the influences of six factors, including broadcast time period, score on Douban.com, main actors, directors, and broadcasting platform, on TV series ratings through two different decision tree models. On this basis, this paper compares the experimental results of the two models through many experiments, and chooses ID3 decision tree algorithm as the prediction model of TV series ratings. The results show that the prediction model constructed in this paper has a good effect, and the accuracy rate can reach 84.05%, which can be used to predict TV series audience rating.
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