信息通信技术仍是经济增长的强大引擎吗?

G. Cette
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引用次数: 28

摘要

自本世纪初以来,在当前的危机之前,ICT的生产业绩已经放缓。这种诊断可能是由于,至少部分是由于对信息通信技术进步的一些统计测量错误。尽管如此,在某些年份,信息和通信技术性能的改进可能会受到大型技术发展的积极影响,例如在计算机中3D芯片的生产使用。与美国相比,非美国发达国家(主要是欧洲和日本)的信息通信技术传播滞后的原因可以用制度方面来解释:劳动年龄人口的平均教育水平较低,对劳动力和产品市场的监管较多。通过实施结构性改革,这些国家可以从生产率加速中受益,这与赶上美国的信息通信技术扩散水平有关。而且,它们可以毫不拖延地从可能出现的第二波信息通信技术生产率增长中受益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does ICT Remain a Powerful Engine of Growth?
ICT productive performances have slowed down since the beginning of the 2000s, before the current crisis. This diagnosis could be due, at least partly, to some statistical mis-measurements of ICT improvements. Nevertheless, improvements in ICT performances will probably be positively impacted, in some years, by large technological developments as for example the productive use, in computers, of the 3D chip. The lag of ICT diffusion in non-US developed countries, mainly Europe and Japan, compare to the US, is explained by institutional aspects: a lower education level, on average, of the working-age population and more regulations on labour and product markets. By implementing structural reforms, these countries could benefit from a productivity acceleration linked to a catch-up of the US ICT diffusion level. And they could benefit, without any delay with the US, from the possible ICT productivity growth second wave.
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