{"title":"累计确诊病例用于传染病未来中长期流行趋势的灰色建模预测","authors":"Li Ming Quan","doi":"10.11648/j.ejpm.20231103.11","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":": The author used the actual data obtained from the prevention and control of COVID-19 in China and the cumulative number of confirmed cases obtained at different time intervals to predict the medium and long term (20 days, 40 days and 60 days) future epidemic trend by grey modeling. Research objectives: Grey modeling theory is applied to the modeling and prediction of infectious diseases, appropriate data obtained from the prevention and control of infectious diseases are selected for the simulation and prediction of the medium and long term future epidemic trend of infectious diseases","PeriodicalId":342483,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Preventive Medicine","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Accumulatively Confirmed Cases Used for Grey Modeling Prediction of the Medium and Long Term Future Epidemic Trend of Infectious Diseases\",\"authors\":\"Li Ming Quan\",\"doi\":\"10.11648/j.ejpm.20231103.11\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\": The author used the actual data obtained from the prevention and control of COVID-19 in China and the cumulative number of confirmed cases obtained at different time intervals to predict the medium and long term (20 days, 40 days and 60 days) future epidemic trend by grey modeling. Research objectives: Grey modeling theory is applied to the modeling and prediction of infectious diseases, appropriate data obtained from the prevention and control of infectious diseases are selected for the simulation and prediction of the medium and long term future epidemic trend of infectious diseases\",\"PeriodicalId\":342483,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Journal of Preventive Medicine\",\"volume\":\"52 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Journal of Preventive Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ejpm.20231103.11\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Journal of Preventive Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ejpm.20231103.11","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Accumulatively Confirmed Cases Used for Grey Modeling Prediction of the Medium and Long Term Future Epidemic Trend of Infectious Diseases
: The author used the actual data obtained from the prevention and control of COVID-19 in China and the cumulative number of confirmed cases obtained at different time intervals to predict the medium and long term (20 days, 40 days and 60 days) future epidemic trend by grey modeling. Research objectives: Grey modeling theory is applied to the modeling and prediction of infectious diseases, appropriate data obtained from the prevention and control of infectious diseases are selected for the simulation and prediction of the medium and long term future epidemic trend of infectious diseases
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