基于移动视界加权邻域粗糙集快速属性约简的能耗预测研究

Jun Tan, Qun Hou, Xin Liu, Yunke Xiong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在实际预测场景中,属性特征包括时间数据、天气数据和能耗数据。属性特征之间的关系非常复杂。通过快速属性约简来探索特征属性与决策集之间的关系,可以减少模型训练数据量。由于季节和时间变化对天气和能耗数据的影响较大,采用移动视界法更新特征,提高能耗预测精度。在此基础上,提出了一种基于移动视界加权邻域粗糙集快速属性约简的长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)能耗预测模型。在预测建筑物实际能耗的实验中,模型评价结果表明,以0.4%的分类准确率为代价,减少了20%的训练数据。与传统非滚动方法相比,移动地平线LSTM预测方法的均方根误差(RMSE)平均降低了33.08%,训练速度平均提高了5.25%。预测效果较好。因此,该预测模型能够快速、准确地预测建筑能耗,具有较强的鲁棒性和泛化能力,为建筑能耗精细化管理、建筑节能减排提供理论依据和方法支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on energy consumption prediction based on fast attribute reduction of weighted neighborhood rough set with moving horizon
In actual prediction scenarios, attribute features include time data, weather data, and energy consumption data. The relationship between attribute features is very complex. Exploring the relationship between feature attributes and decision sets with fast attribute reduction can reduce the amount of model training data. Since seasonal and temporal variations greatly influence weather and energy consumption data, the moving horizon method is used to update the features and improve the accuracy of energy consumption prediction.From above, an energy consumption prediction model based on fast attribute reduction of weighted neighborhood rough set with moving horizon long short-term memory neural network(LSTM) is proposed in this paper. In the experiment of predicting the actual energy consumption of a building, the model evaluation results show that 20% of training data is reduced at the expense of 0.4% classification accuracy. Compared with the traditional non-rolling method, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the moving horizon LSTM prediction method is reduced by 33.08% on average, and the training speed is increased by 5.25% on average. The prediction effect is better. Therefore, this prediction model can be used to predict building energy consumption quickly and accurately and has strong robustness and generalization ability, which provides the theoretical basis and method support for fine management of building energy consumption, building energy conservation, and emission reduction.
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