再出口的潜力:斐济贸易增长的可能性

A. Prakash, P. Chand
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨斐济再出口的重要性。在斐济,国内出口的再出口占主导地位是无可争辩的;然而,缺乏关于再出口对斐济经济过境出口总额的影响的文献。本研究旨在填补这一空白,提出建议,通过使贸易政策多样化来加强斐济的出口总额。采用1985 - 2018年的出口总额、转口总额和内销总额的时间序列数据,建立ARDL模型。该模型进行了诊断检验,关于模型的稳定性进行假设检验的有利结果。调查结果再次证实,再出口是斐济出口总额和贸易增长的重要预测指标。这项研究表明,国家政策必须包括促进再出口。最后,本研究的发现有助于更新或重塑促进包容性增长的发展政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Potential of Re-exports: A Probability for Fiji’s Trade Growth
This study investigates the significance of re-exports in Fiji. The dominance of the re-export of domestic exports is indisputable in Fiji; however, there is lack of literature concerning the performance of re-exports to total exports transiting the Fijian economy. This study aspires to fill that gap offering suggestions to strengthen the total exports of Fiji by diversifying the trade policies. Time series data is used for total exports, re-exports and domestic exports from 1985 to 2018 to establish an ARDL model. The model was subjected to diagnostic testing with a favorable outcome regarding the stability of the model for hypothesis testing. The findings re-affirm that re-exports are a significant predictor of Fiji’s total exports and trade growth. This research signifies the need for national policies to include the promotion of re-exports. Conclusively, the finding of this study is instrumental in updating or reshaping development policies for inclusive growth.
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