经济增长放缓对能源强度的影响

Anastasia V. Vlasova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济增长与一个经济体的能源强度之间的联系,在深入了解各种经济体发展的具体情况方面起着至关重要的作用。一般认为,经济增长放缓是伴随着商品生产的技术发展进步的减少,能源项目的投资也会减少。经济的能源强度增加,其能源效率降低。项目中有条件固定的能源成本也无助于降低能源强度。对经济影响日益严重的宏观因素使能源强度的降低黯然失色。本文回顾了普遍接受的趋势与特定经济体所经历的趋势之间的矛盾(以中国经济为例)。尽管大量的国外和国内研究审查了这一联系,但得出明确的结论是不恰当的。作者得出的结论是,经济发展的特殊性对能源强度的动态具有压倒性的影响。中国当局的政策采用了相当适应性的机制来调整未来的能源政策,这使得在经济增长期间和经济放缓期间降低能源强度成为可能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE IMPACT OF SLOWING ECONOMIC GROWTH ON ITS ENERGY INTENSITY
The link between economic growth and energy intensity of an economy plays a vital role in providing insight into the specifics of the development of the variety of economies. It is generally assumed that economic growth slowing down is coupled with the decrease of the progress of technological development of the production of goods, investments in energy projects also experience a decrease. The energy intensity of the economy increases, its energy efficiency decreases. Conditionally fixed energy costs in projects also do not contribute to reducing energy intensity. Macrofactors, with increasingly dire impacts on the economy, overshadow the reduction of energy intensity. The paper reviews the contradictions between generally accepted trends and trends experienced by a particular economy (with the example of the Chinese economy). Despite the fact that a large number of foreign and domestic studies examine that link, it would be inappropriate to draw unequivocal conclusions. The author comes to the conclusion that the specifics of economic development have an overwhelming influence on the dynamics of energy intensity. The policy of the Chinese authorities uses rather adaptive mechanisms to adjust the future energy policy, which makes it possible to reduce energy intensity during the period of economic growth and when it slows down.
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