消费者预期指数、经济状况指数和原油价格对印尼国债收益率的影响

B. Tjandrasa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

政府出售债券为预算融资。投资者愿意购买政府债券是因为他们将获得收益,但另一方面,如果政府债券收益率过高,将给国家支付到期利息带来负担。汇率、通货膨胀率、利率、油价等对政府债券收益率有显著影响的变量已经得到了各种各样的研究。本研究发现了两个变量,即消费者预期指数和经济状况指数,以补充已发现的变量。这两个变量被用作一个国家经济稳定性的代理,这些变量的增加代表经济稳定性的增加,并将降低风险水平,降低投资者需求的收益率。本研究采用描述性研究方法,并利用多元回归方程模型对二次资料进行解释研究。结果表明,消费者预期指数和经济状况指数对印尼国债收益率有显著影响。为了保持消费者预期指数和经济状况指数的上升,政府应该给投资者一个积极的信号和安全感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Consumer Expectation Index, Economic Condition Index and Crude Oil Price on Indonesian Government Bond Yield
Governments sell bonds to finance their budget. The investors willing to buy government bonds because of the yield they will get, but on the other hand if government bond yields is  too high it would burden the state in paying the interest due. Various studies have been done to find the variables that affect government bond yield significantly, such as exchange rate, inflation rate, interest rate, and oil price. This study found two more variables namely consumer expectations index and the economic conditions index to complement the variables that have been discovered. Those two variables are used as a proxy of economic stability of a country, the increase of those variables represent the increase of economic stability and will reduce the level of risk and lowering the yield that investors demand. This research use descriptive method and explanatory study with secondary data using multivariate regression equation model. The results shown consumer expectation index and economic condition index have significant effect on Indonesian Government Bond yield. To keep consumer expectation index and economic condition index increase government should give a positive signal and a sense of security to investor.
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