运用altman, springate, zmijewski, fulmer和grover破产预测模型对零售公司进行财务分析

Trisa Wahyuningsih, L. Venusita
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引用次数: 1

摘要

破产分析是一种利用破产预测模型确定公司财务状况的方法。本研究的目的是确定2019-2020年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的印度尼西亚零售公司的财务状况,使用Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski, Fulmer和Grover破产预测模型进行测量。使用的研究类型是定量的描述性方法。使用的样本是印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)发布的2019-2020年期间的28家零售公司。使用的数据收集技术是文件技术,在零售公司的年度财务报告的形式,下载通过www.idx.co.id。数据分析结果显示,Altman、Springate、Zmijewski、Fulmer和Grover的破产预测模型由于所使用的比率变量不同,给出了不同的预测结果。几家零售公司预计将破产,由于公司财务业绩不佳,造成损失。然而,大多数零售公司仍然能够在财务业绩上保持平衡,并在COVID-19大流行期间将破产风险降至最低。为了避免公司破产,公司必须尽可能地管理其财务业绩,如规范销售额水平,公司负债,公司资产,税前利润和利息,净收入,留存收益,应收账款周转率,营运资金,以及最大限度地降低公司运营成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF RETAIL COMPANIES USING THE ALTMAN, SPRINGATE, ZMIJEWSKI, FULMER, AND GROVER BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION MODELS
Bankruptcy analysis is a method to determine the company's financial condition using a bankruptcy prediction model. The purpose of this study is to determine the financial condition of retail companies in Indonesia listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2019-2020 period, which is measured using the Altman Z-Score, Springate, Zmijewski, Fulmer, and Grover bankruptcy prediction models. The type of research used is quantitative with a descriptive approach. The sample used is 28 retail companies published by the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2019-2020 period. The data collection technique used is the documentation technique, in the form of annual financial reports of retail companies which are downloaded through www.idx.co.id. The results of data analysis showed that the bankruptcy prediction model of Altman, Springate, Zmijewski, Fulmer, and Grover gave different results, due to differences in the ratio variables used. Several retail companies are predicted to go bankrupt, due to the poor financial performance of the company, causing losses. However, most retail companies are still able to maintain a balance in financial performance and can minimize the risk of bankruptcy during the COVID-19 pandemic. For the company to avoid bankruptcy, the company must manage its financial performance as well as possible, such as regulating the level of sales, company liabilities, company assets, profit before taxes and interest, net income, retained earnings, receivables turnover, working capital, as well as minimizing operating costs company.  
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