基于Logistic迭代回归模型的网络流量预测

Zhang Jianjun, Xu Yuanbiao, Feng Renhai
{"title":"基于Logistic迭代回归模型的网络流量预测","authors":"Zhang Jianjun, Xu Yuanbiao, Feng Renhai","doi":"10.1109/ICICSP50920.2020.9232022","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The size of the network traffic is of great significance to the design of the network architecture. This paper forecast network traffic based on logistic regression model, proposes an improved network traffic forecasting method. In this method, the logistic regression model parameters need to be estimated from historical data. For the three unknown parameters in the logistic regression model, first use the Neyman-Fisher factorization theorem to obtain the unbiased sufficient statistics of one of the parameters. Under the assumption that the general solution is known, use the least square method to solve the other two parameters. Then, under the premise of satisfying the constraints, the scope of the general solution is determined. Among all the parameters, the parameter with the smallest model error is selected to obtain the logistic regression prediction model. Experimental simulations prove that the method improves the accuracy of network traffic forecasting.","PeriodicalId":117760,"journal":{"name":"2020 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Information Communication and Signal Processing (ICICSP)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Network Traffic Forecasting Based on Logistic Iterative Regression Model\",\"authors\":\"Zhang Jianjun, Xu Yuanbiao, Feng Renhai\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICICSP50920.2020.9232022\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The size of the network traffic is of great significance to the design of the network architecture. This paper forecast network traffic based on logistic regression model, proposes an improved network traffic forecasting method. In this method, the logistic regression model parameters need to be estimated from historical data. For the three unknown parameters in the logistic regression model, first use the Neyman-Fisher factorization theorem to obtain the unbiased sufficient statistics of one of the parameters. Under the assumption that the general solution is known, use the least square method to solve the other two parameters. Then, under the premise of satisfying the constraints, the scope of the general solution is determined. Among all the parameters, the parameter with the smallest model error is selected to obtain the logistic regression prediction model. Experimental simulations prove that the method improves the accuracy of network traffic forecasting.\",\"PeriodicalId\":117760,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2020 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Information Communication and Signal Processing (ICICSP)\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2020 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Information Communication and Signal Processing (ICICSP)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICICSP50920.2020.9232022\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2020 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Information Communication and Signal Processing (ICICSP)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICICSP50920.2020.9232022","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

摘要

网络流量的大小对网络体系结构的设计具有重要意义。本文基于逻辑回归模型对网络流量进行预测,提出了一种改进的网络流量预测方法。在该方法中,需要从历史数据中估计逻辑回归模型参数。对于logistic回归模型中的三个未知参数,首先利用Neyman-Fisher因子分解定理得到其中一个参数的无偏充分统计量。在通解已知的假设下,用最小二乘法求解另外两个参数。然后,在满足约束条件的前提下,确定通解的范围。在所有参数中,选取模型误差最小的参数,得到logistic回归预测模型。实验结果表明,该方法提高了网络流量预测的准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Network Traffic Forecasting Based on Logistic Iterative Regression Model
The size of the network traffic is of great significance to the design of the network architecture. This paper forecast network traffic based on logistic regression model, proposes an improved network traffic forecasting method. In this method, the logistic regression model parameters need to be estimated from historical data. For the three unknown parameters in the logistic regression model, first use the Neyman-Fisher factorization theorem to obtain the unbiased sufficient statistics of one of the parameters. Under the assumption that the general solution is known, use the least square method to solve the other two parameters. Then, under the premise of satisfying the constraints, the scope of the general solution is determined. Among all the parameters, the parameter with the smallest model error is selected to obtain the logistic regression prediction model. Experimental simulations prove that the method improves the accuracy of network traffic forecasting.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信