公共选择学派对奥地利经济周期理论的回应:ABCT vs . PBCT

Haeng-Bum Kim
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摘要

经过米塞斯的倡导和哈耶克的完善,奥地利经济周期理论(ABCT)也得到了很好的阐述,并对实际经济周期有了有效的解释。本文揭示了Public Choice如何回应ABCT,以及他们如何形成自己的商业周期思想。戈登·塔洛克对罗斯巴德的ABCT意识提出了批评,随后萨勒诺对此作出了严厉的回应。本文提取了这一论点的一些要点,以比较图洛克和罗斯巴德的基本差异。当政府(央行)“人为”降低利率时,ABCT会激活商业周期。公共选择理论家关注的是“为什么”他们这样做。对于ABCT来说,他们是否有好的意图并不重要。然而,PBCT更强调的是为了政治家或官僚在政治语境中的自私政治利益而做的。奥地利学派对经济周期的“萧条”阶段提出了新的含义,在新古典经济学派下,这一阶段长期被忽视为“坏”事件。ABCT假设了两个关键概念;资本异质性和不当投资。PBCT对他们来说是陌生的。因此,PBCT往往没有区分过度投资和不良投资之间的区别,并假设资本的同质性。这是因为公共选择是基于新古典经济学,而不是奥地利学派的经济学。然后回顾了四种政治经济周期理论模型:机会主义模型、党派模型、理性机会主义模型和理性党派模型。关注市场过程的奥地利学派与关注政治市场的公共选择理论家以经济周期为主题相遇。ABCT显示“看得见的手”对市场经济的影响,PBCT显示经济周期对政治市场的影响。两者相互给出合理的张力,加上对整体经济周期的补充解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public Choice School’s Response to Austrian Business Cycle Theory: ABCT versus PBCT
Since Mises’ advocacy and Hayek’s refinement, ABCT(Austrian Business Cycle Theory) has been well formulated and showed valid explanation on actual economic business cycles as well. This article reveals how Public Choice responded to ABCT and how they developed its own ideas on business cycle. Gordon Tullock criticized Rothbardian sense of ABCT, followed by severe response from Sallerno. Some essential points on this argument were extracted to compare the basic difference of Tullock and Rothbard. ABCT activates business cycle when gov’t(central bank) ‘artificially’ lower the interest rate. Public Choice theorists focus on ‘why’ they do that. For ABCT, whether or not they have good intention is not important. PBCT, however, more emphasize that was done for the selfish political interests that politicians or bureaucrats have in political context. Austrians suggested new meaning to ‘bust’ phase of economic cycle, which under neo-classcical economics school long have been ignored as ‘bad’ event. ABCT assumes two key concepts; heterogeneity of capital, and mal-investment. PBCT is unfamiliar to those. So PBCT frequently does not identify the difference between over-investment and mal-investment, and assumes homogeneity of capital. It’s because Public Choice stands on neo-classical economics, not Austrian sense of economics. Then, four political business cycle theory(PBCT) models were reviewed: Opportunistic, Partisan, Rational Opportunistic, and Rational Partisan model. Austrians focusing on market process met Public Choice Theorists focusing political market met on the theme of business cycle. ABCT shows how ‘visible hand’ gives impact on market economy, and PBCT shows what impact business cycle has to political market. Each mutually gives sound tension, plus contributes to complementary explanation on overall business cycle.
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