战略研究中的混沌理论

Marwan A. Al-Shammari, M. Pavlović, Bader Ayed Al Qaied
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引用次数: 6

摘要

一些领域的学者认为,不稳定性、动态性、进化和变化已经成为组织的本质。这一建议认为,这些特征确实是嵌入在组织特征中,无论它们是结果还是输入。组织总是受制于约束、威胁、强加的变化、自愿的变化。我认为组织存在于一个混乱的领域,他们的实现在很大程度上受到许多因素的影响和影响,因此他们的行动过程在战略上受制于他们理解程度的变化和调整。实现很大程度上取决于跟踪初始条件的能力,战略行动后所需的配置,以及陌生吸引子在混沌域中沿其路径存在的吸引力。我将混沌理论的这些概念应用于战略联盟的背景下。我认为,企业可能会忽略非常小的变化,这些变化可能会导致误解和对必要的行动过程的不完全认识。此外,企业不应期望其先前的战略行动产生类似的结果,除非它们能够控制许多似乎很困难的变量。企业的业绩容易受到冲击和起伏,这取决于它们控制路径的能力,以及它们在应对周围不可控力量时所经历的必修课程的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Chaos theory in Strategy Research
Scholars in several fields contended that instability, dynamicity, evolution, and change have become in the very nature of organizations. This proposal argues that such traits are indeed, embedded in the organizational characteristics whether they are an outcome or input. Organizations are always subject to constraints, threats, imposed changes, voluntary changes. I argue that organizations exist in a chaotic domain, their realization is largely affected and influenced by many factors, and therefore their courses of actions are strategically subject to change and adjustments to the extent of their comprehension. The realization depends largely on the ability to trace initial conditions, required configurations after strategic actions, and the attractiveness of the stranger attractors exist along the way of their path in the chaotic domain. I apply these concepts of chaos theory in the strategic alliance context. I argue that firms may ignore very small changes that may cause a misunderstanding and incomplete realization of the necessary course of actions. Furthermore, firms should not expect similar results of their prior strategic actions, unless they are able to control many variables which seems to be difficult. Firms will be prone to shocks, ups and downs with respect to their performance, depending on their ability to control the path and undergo the required course in response to uncontrollable forces in their surroundings.
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