网络覆盖与抗议活动的发生

Nils B. Weidmann, E. Rød
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章首先从实证角度考察了互联网技术与城市层面上的抗议事件之间的关系。作者认为,互联网覆盖范围的扩大应该会降低反政府抗议的发生率:政府对互联网技术和内容享有高度控制,它们可以利用这一点来防止抗议。在第4章介绍的书的研究设计的基础上,本章通过提出描述性统计和后来通过估计多层次回归模型来测试这一理论期望。与作者的论点一致,分析揭示了互联网普及率对抗议事件的负面影响。换句话说,一个特定城市的高互联网普及率降低了专制国家反政府抗议事件发生的可能性。这种效果在许多不同的模型规范和时间段内都是健壮的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Internet Coverage and the Occurrence of Protest
This chapter presents an empirical first look at the relationship between Internet technology and protest occurrence at the level of cities. The authors argue that the expansion of Internet coverage should lower the incidence rate of anti-regime protest: governments enjoy a high level of control over Internet technology and content, which they can use to prevent protest. Building on the book’s research design introduced in Chapter 4, the chapter tests this theoretical expectation by presenting descriptive statistics and later by estimating multilevel regression models. In line with the authors’ argument, the analysis reveals a negative effect of Internet penetration on protest incidence. In other words, high Internet penetration in a given city reduces the likelihood of anti-regime protest incidence in autocracies. This effect is robust across a number of different model specifications and time periods.
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