基于地点的大学入学和成功投资的承诺:调查匹兹堡承诺的影响

Lindsay C. Page, Jennifer E. Iriti, Danielle J. Lowry, Aaron M. Anthony
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引用次数: 7

摘要

基于地点的承诺奖学金是在大学入学和成功方面相对较新的创新。尽管关于最早的一些基于名额的奖学金的影响的证据已经开始出现,但承诺项目的迅速扩散很大程度上先于其影响的经验证据。我们利用不连续回归和差中差分析来研究匹兹堡承诺对学生的直接中学后成就和早期大学坚持性结果的因果影响。两种分析方法得出了相似的结论。作为承诺资格的结果,匹兹堡公立学校的毕业生入读大学的可能性大约高出5个百分点,特别是四年制大学;选择宾夕法尼亚大学的可能性高出10%;有4%到7%的人更有可能继续接受第二年的高等教育。正如工具变量调整结果所显示的那样,随着时间的推移,项目结构和机会的变化,影响也会有所不同,对那些对承诺项目做出反应的人来说,影响更大。尽管匹兹堡承诺是一笔相当大的投资,但保守的成本效益计算表明,回报是正的。即使有积极的经济回报,一个重要的问题是,从长远来看,像匹兹堡承诺这样的地方资助项目在经济上是否可持续。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Promise of Place-Based Investment in College Access and Success: Investigating the Impact of the Pittsburgh Promise
Place-based promise scholarships are a relatively recent innovation in the space of college access and success. Although evidence on the impact of some of the earliest place-based scholarships has begun to emerge, the rapid proliferation of promise programs largely has preceded empirical evidence of their impact. We utilize regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences analyses to investigate the causal effect of the Pittsburgh Promise on students’ immediate postsecondary attainment and early college persistence outcomes. Both analytic approaches yield similar conclusions. As a result of Promise eligibility, Pittsburgh Public School graduates are approximately 5 percentage points more likely to enroll in college, particularly four-year institutions; 10 percentage points more likely to select a Pennsylvania institution; and 4 to 7 percentage points more likely to enroll and persist into a second year of postsecondary education. Impacts vary with changes over time in the program structure and opportunities and are larger for those responsive to the Promise opportunity, as instrumental variable-adjusted results reveal. Although the Pittsburgh Promise represents a sizeable investment, conservative cost-benefit calculations indicate positive returns. Even with positive economic returns, an important question is whether locally funded programs such as the Pittsburgh Promise are economically sustainable in the long run.
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