电力系统通信业务安全与风险评估技术研究

Ziyan Zhao, Jianming Liu, Ruiui Zhang, Kun Lu
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引用次数: 6

摘要

根据目前电力系统通信业务的应用现状、通信技术和网络结构,提出了电力通信业务安全与风险评估的数学方法。针对电力系统中广泛应用的典型拓扑SDH传输系统网络,介绍了电力系统通信业务的安全分类、重要程度、通信网络点和传输段风险的概念。本文将风险分为隐性风险和显性风险两类,隐性风险是指直接影响电力系统的通信故障风险,显性风险是指间接影响电力系统的风险。采用RBD (Reliability Block Diagram)和PRA (Probabilistic Reliability Assessment)方法,将通信网通信点或电力光缆的可靠性、电力系统运行分类的特点、电力系统运行的重要程度结合起来,可以计算出点对点不同通信信道组织方式的电力系统通信业务的可靠性和风险。包括因单个通信网络点或光缆故障引起的电力系统通信业务中断和可靠性下降的隐性风险和显性风险。计算结果表明,该方法具有很好的实用性和可操作性。该方法计算的业务可靠性和风险评估值符合当前的应用情况。该方法不仅可用于承载电力系统运行的电力系统通信网络的可靠性和风险评估,还可用于普通电力系统运行和通信网络检修时电力系统通信服务信道的优化与调整。该方法将为电力系统的安全可靠运行带来帮助,为电力系统通信网络承载电力系统业务降低风险提供重要的科学支撑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research of safety and risk assessment technology for power system communication services
According to current application of the power system communication services and communication technology and network structure, a mathematical method of safety and risk assessment of electric power communication services is carried out. Considering the typical topology SDH transmission system network which is used widely in power system, this paper introduces the concept of the safety classification, importance degree of power system communication service, communication network point and transmission segment risk. This paper divides the risk into two kinds, recessive risk which is the risk caused by communication failure that will influence the power system directly and dominant risk which is the risk that influence power system indirectly. Using RBD (Reliable Block Diagram) and PRA (Probabilistic Reliability Assessment) the method, which combine reliability of communication network communication point or electric power optical cable, characteristics of power system operations classification, importance degree of power system operations together, can calculates reliability of power system communication services which have different communication channel organization patterns from point to point, and risks, including recessive risk and dominant risk, caused by power system communication service interruption and reliability degeneration for single communication network point or optical cable failure. It is proved that the method have very good practicality and operability according to the calculation result. The service reliability and risk assessment value calculated by this method accords with current application situation. This method can be used not only in reliability and risk assessment of power system communication network carrying the power system operations, but also in the power system communication service channel's optimization and adjustment while during common power system running and overhaul of the communication network. This method will bring help for the safe and reliable running for the power system and give important and scientific support for reducing risk for the power system communication network carrying the power system services.
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