父母身份对劳动力参与的影响:一个性别比较

Seyyed Ali Zeytoon Nejad Moosavian
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摘要

确定影响劳动力参与的因素可以阐明个人如何做出劳动力供给决策,而对这些因素的理解反过来又对分析劳动力市场的供给侧如何运作至关重要。本文采用个体层面的固定效应识别策略,研究了父母身份对劳动力参与决策的影响。个体之间和时间上的差异,是否有孩子以及是否在劳动力市场上的差异,提供了评估个体LFP行为与亲子关系之间关系所需的差异。为人父母对母亲和父亲的影响可能不同。为了分别观察母性和父性对LFP的因果影响,数据按性别分类。为此,可以使用个人层面的固定效应来衡量父母身份变化的影响,以解释个人成为父母的时不变特征。使用的主要数据来源是国家纵向调查(NLS)。考虑到LFP变量的性质,本文采用二元响应模型(Binary Response Models, BRMs)利用个体层面的微观数据估计LFP方程。研究结果表明,父母身份对LFP的总体影响是负面的。然而,父亲身份对劳动力的可能性有显著的积极影响,而母亲身份对LFP有显著的负面影响。此外,研究结果表明,无论父母的性别如何,父母身份对LFP的影响都在随着时间的推移而逐渐消失。这两项证据与相关主流经济理论(传统的新古典劳动供给理论和贝克尔的家庭生产模型)的理论预测相吻合。这些结果在指定的不同模型和采用的各种估计方法中都是稳健的。这些发现有助于在个人和行为层面上了解父母身份对美国LFP决策的影响,并有助于制定经济政策和干预措施,以提高劳动力参与经济的地位。最后,讨论了确定这一因果关系的一些潜在威胁,如生育率的内生性,以及应对这些威胁的一些可能的策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying the Effect of Parenthood on Labor Force Participation: A Gender Comparison
Identifying the factors that influence labor force participation could elucidate how individuals arrive at their labor supply decisions, whose understanding is, in turn, of crucial importance in analyzing how the supply side of the labor market functions. This paper investigates the effect of parenthood status on Labor Force Participation (LFP) decisions using an individual-level fixed-effects identification strategy. The differences across individuals and over time in having or not having children as well as being or not being in the labor force provide the variation needed to assess the association between individuals’ LFP behavior and parenthood. Parenthood could have different impacts on mothers than it would on fathers. In order to look at the causal effect of maternity and paternity on LFP separately, the data is disaggregated by gender. To this end, the effect of a change in the parenthood status can be measured using individual-level fixed-effects to account for time-invariant characteristics of individuals becoming a parent. The primary data source used is the National Longitudinal Surveys (NLS). Considering the nature of LFP variable, this paper employs Binary Response Models (BRMs) to estimate LFP equations using individual-level micro data. The findings of the study show that parenthood has a negative overall effect on LFP. However, paternity has a significant positive effect on the likelihood of being in the labor force, whilst maternity has a significant negative impact of LFP. In addition, the results imply that the effect of parenthood on LFP has been fading away over time, regardless of the gender of parents. These two pieces of evidence precisely map onto the theoretical predictions made by the related mainstream economic theories (the traditional neoclassical theory of labor supply as well as Becker’s household production model). These results are robust across different models specified and various estimation methods employed. These findings can contribute to the existing knowledge about the effect of parenthood on LFP decisions made in the US at an individual and behavioral level, and also aid in the shaping of economic policies and interventions to enhance the status of labor force participation in the economy. In the end, some potential threats to the identification of this causal effect, such as endogeneity of fertility, and some possible strategies to deal with those threats are discussed.
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