“塞西主义”:“阿拉伯之春”后的埃及与大国。开罗与华盛顿、北京和莫斯科关系的比较研究

N. Surkov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自“阿拉伯之春”以来,埃及的外交政策发生了重大变化。在区域一级,开罗必须对许多挑战和威胁作出反应,在全球一级- -实行多样化政策,以弥补同美国关系的部分减弱。本文关注的是埃及与中国和俄罗斯的和解是否可以成为与美国建立战略联盟的另一种选择。作者旨在分析埃及与上述大国关系的特殊性,并确定这些关系进一步发展的趋势。文章分析了埃及在安全和经济领域的合作。主要结论是,埃及仍然有兴趣维持和发展与美国的战略关系。然而,中国和俄罗斯在埃及外交政策战略中发挥着越来越重要的作用。中国正在成为一个重要的贸易伙伴,俄罗斯是军事和政治领域的合作伙伴。它也是粮食安全的主要提供者。对埃及与美国、中国和俄罗斯联邦关系的比较分析表明,从中期来看,埃及将逐渐远离华盛顿,对大国采取更加平衡的政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
"SISI DOCTRINE”: EGYPT AND THE GREAT POWERS AFTER THE “ARAB SPRING”. COMPARATIVE STUDY OF CAIRO’S RELATIONS WITH WASHINGTON, BEIJING AND MOSCOW
The foreign policy of Egypt changed significantly since the "Arab Spring". At the regional level, Cairo had to respond to numerous challenges and threats, and at the global level – to pursue a policy of diversification in order to compensate for the partial weakening of ties with the United States. This article focuses on whether Egypt's rapprochement with China and Russia can become an alternative to a strategic alliance with the United States. The author aims to analyze the peculiarities of Egypt's relations with each of the mentioned great powers and to identify trends in further development of these relations. The article analyzes Egypt’s cooperation in security and economic spheres. The main conclusion is that Egypt remains interested in maintaining and developing strategic relations with the United States. However, China and Russia are playing an increasingly important role in Egypt's foreign policy strategy. The PRC is turning into a major trading partner, and Russia is a partner in the military and political spheres. It is also a key provider of food security. Comparative analysis of Egypt's relations with the United States, China and the Russian Federation shows that in the medium term Cairo will gradually move away from Washington and pursue a more balanced policy with respect to great powers.
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