基于马尔可夫过程和多Beta因子模型的双2-out- 2冗余系统可靠性、安全性及时域灵敏度分析

Li-quan Wang, Xiangyu Wang, Peng Jia, Hanyi Lizhang, G. Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

结合马尔可夫过程和多beta因子(MBF)模型,建立双2-out-2-of-2冗余系统的可靠性和安全性模型,考虑各模块的故障检出率、共因故障和故障率等多因素的影响,对系统的可靠性和安全性进行评估。在Morris筛选法的基础上,提出了基于大量等概率随机数据的时域灵敏度分析方法,研究各因素对系统可靠性和安全性的影响。最后,在MATLAB中对系统模型进行了仿真。仿真结果表明,随着时间的推移,系统的可靠性和安全性逐渐降低,各因素对可靠性和安全性的影响逐渐增大;可靠性对CPU模块的故障率最为敏感;安全性对故障检出率最为敏感;比较器和开关模块对系统的可靠性和安全性有重要影响;共因故障对可靠性和安全性的影响较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reliability, Safety and Time-Domain Sensitivity Analysis of Double 2-out-of-2 Redundancy System Based on Markov Process and Multiple Beta Factor Model
The Markov process and multiple beta factor (MBF) model are combined for creating the reliability and safety models of double 2-out-2-of-2 redundancy system with regard of the effects of multiple factors, including failure detection rate, common-cause failure and failure rate of each module, for evaluating the system reliability and safety. Based on the Morris screening method, a time-domain sensitivity analysis method that is based on a large amount of random data with equal probability is proposed to study the effect of each factor on the system reliability and safety. Finally, the system model is simulated in MATLAB. The simulation demonstrates that system reliability and safety gradually decrease and the effect of each factor on them increases over time; the reliability is most sensitive to the failure rate of the CPU module; the safety is most sensitive to the failure detection rate; the comparator and switch modules have important effects on the reliability and safety; the common cause failure has small effect on the reliability and safety.
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