Onur Polat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文运用tpv - var模型,研究了油价冲击与欧元区金融压力指数之间的动态传导机制。因此,该研究的数据集涵盖每月WTI原油价格、全球石油产量、Kilian指数和欧元区金融压力指标(系统性压力综合指标,CISS),范围为2000:09至2018:06。研究的实证结果证实,金融状况恶化,以应对积极的油价冲击。此外,tpv - var模型持续且稳健地捕捉了全球石油市场对欧元区金融状况产生的结构性冲击的动态性质。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PETROL FİYAT ŞOKLARI VE FİNANSAL STRES ARASINDAKİ ZAMAN-DEĞİŞİMLİ İLİŞKİ: AB BÖLGESI İÇİN TVP-VAR ANALİZİ
In this study, the dynamic transmission mechanism between oil price shocks and Euro area financial stress index is investigated by implementing the TVP-VAR model. Accordingly, the data set of the study cover monthly WTI crude oil price, global oil production, the Kilian Index and a measure for financial stress for the Euro area (Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress, CISS) and range from 2000:09 to 2018:06. Empirical results of the study verify that, financial conditions worsen in response to positive oil price shocks. Additionally, the TVP-VAR model captures the dynamic nature of the structural shocks arisen from the global oil market to the Euro area financial conditions consistently and robustly.
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