处处可微连续体、数学空间和公理:金融现象的建模

Oghenovo A. Obrimah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

正式的理论证明表明,在“处处可微”连续体上建立股票收益模型总是不适合建立理性期望均衡模型。同时,离散时间股票收益的建模对于每一个REE的建模或偏离REE的可行性都具有鲁棒性。在声明的方面,离散时间的建模导致投资者的先验与REE的一致性或偏差的二分类充分性条件。连续时间建模的缺点是股票价格的连通性不能从股票价格的演变中二分化,这与连通性属性独立于位于拓扑空间中的特定元素的规范相矛盾。总的来说,虽然连续时间的建模可以得出风险(波动率)与收益之间的正相关关系,但与理性预期相反,产生负收益的风险较高的波动率的实现相对较低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Everywhere Differentiable Continuums, Mathematical Spaces, and Axioms: Modeling of Financial Phenomena
Formal theoretical proofs show modeling of stock returns on `everywhere differentiable' continuums always is inappropriate to modeling of rational expectations equilibriums (REE). Simultaneously, modeling of stock returns in discrete time always is robust to modeling of each of REE, or feasibility of deviations from REE. In stated respect, modeling in discrete time results in dichotomous sufficiency conditions for each of conformance with, or deviation of investors' priors from REE. Bane of modeling in continuous time is non-dichotomization of connectedness property of stock prices from evolution of stock prices, a contradiction to the norm that connectedness properties be independent of specific elements that are located in topological spaces. In aggregate, while modeling in continuous time induces positive relations between risk (volatility) and returns, contrary to rational expectations, it is relatively low realizations for volatility that have higher risk of generation of negative returns.
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