基于人口密度传播模型的COVID-19可视化平台

Mengmei Wang, Shuguang Peng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在经典SIR模型和CEMM城际模型的基础上,通过增加“人口密度”参数,建立了一个新的模型来分析和预测病毒的传播。此外,目前的疫情趋势和预测数据可以在直观的网页视图中供公众参考,提高社会对风险信息的感知。采用实时疫情数据接口,结合区域人口密度,对部署定时爬虫获取的实时肺炎疫情数据进行分析,建立模型。然后,利用多样化的图表、Python和Web前端技术实现疫情信息的可视化。COVID-19呈指数增长,没有阻碍,当一个地方的人口密度高时,病毒的传播速度就会加快,感染人数也会增加。研究表明,人口密度参数的整合可以进一步完善疫情预测功能,更有效、准确地提供疫情数据参考,进一步提高公众对社会风险信息的感知能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19 Visualization Platform Based on Population Density Propagation Model
Based on the classical SIR model and CEMM intercity model, a new model was established by adding "population density" parameter to analyze and predict the spread of virus. In addition, the current trend of the epidemic and forecast data can be referenced to the public in an intuitive web view to improve the perception of risk information in the society. The real-time epidemic data interface was adopted to analyze the real-time pneumonia epidemic data captured by the deployment of timing crawler combined with the regional population density to build a model. Then, the diversified charts, Python and Web front-end technologies were used to realize the visualization of epidemic information. COVID-19 grows exponentially without obstruction, and when a place has a high population density, the spread of the virus accelerates and the number of people infected increases. The research shows that the integration of population density parameters can further improve the epidemic prediction function, provide epidemic data reference in a more effective and accurate way, and further improve the public's ability to perceive social risk information.
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