可持续发展目标和《2063年议程》:对非洲经济一体化的影响

D. Sparks
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文考察了非洲最近促进经济一体化的努力,特别是区域经济共同体(RECs)和拟议的大陆自由贸易区(CFTA)是如何得到2015年后发展议程和非洲联盟2063年议程倡议的支持并与之协调一致的。世界银行(World bank)的《全球经济展望》(Global Economic Prospects)预计,2014年至2017年期间,全球13个增长最快的经济体中有5个将在非洲。然而,令人沮丧和困惑的是,这种增长并没有伴随着贫困、收入不平等和失业的减少。同样令人不安的是,很少有国家实现了去年年底到期的所有千年发展目标(MDGs)。此外,非洲可能在近期面临严峻的挑战。非洲在该大陆内部和在全球经济中的贸易性质加剧了这一不祥的局势。为了应对这些制约因素,特别是关税壁垒,区域经济合作中心和中国大陆自由贸易区将在刺激贸易增长方面发挥关键作用。在可持续发展目标(SDGs)和《2063年议程》的总体指导下,在区域层面或整个大陆层面加强经济一体化,将导致贸易增加,从长远来看,这将增加收入,减少贫困,增加就业,提供更多的消费者选择,并将为外部冲击提供庇护。然而,至少在短期内,这种收益通常也伴随着损失。本文呼吁建立大陆一体化补偿资助机制(ICFM)来平衡这些损失。国际货币基金组织将由非洲开发银行、联合国非洲经济委员会和非洲联盟制定和管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Sustainable Development Goals and Agenda 2063: Implications for Economic Integration in Africa
This paper examines how Africai¯s recent efforts to promote economic integration, specifically the Regional Economic Communities (RECs) and the proposed Continental Free Trade Area (CFTA) are supported by and in harmony with the Post 2015 Development Agenda and the African Unioni¯s Agenda 2063 initiative. The World Banki¯s Global Economic Prospects projects for the period 2014-2017 that five of the worldi¯s 13 top growing economies will be in Africa. However, it is distressing and puzzling that such growth has not been accompanied by reduced poverty, income inequality and unemployment. It is also unsettling that few states met all of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) which expired at the end of last year. Furthermore, Africa will likely be confronted by daunting challenges in the near term. This ominous situation is enhanced by the nature of Africai¯s trade, both within the continent and in the global economy. To counter some of these constraints, especially the tariff barriers, the RECs and the CFTA will be critical in stimulating trade growth. Increased economic integration, either on a regional level or on a continent-wide level under the general guidelines of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Agenda 2063 will result in increased trade which will, in the long term, increase incomes, reduce poverty, increase employment, provide greater consumer choice, and will offer shelter from exogenous external shocks. However, at least in the short term, such gains are also typically accompanied by loses. This paper calls for a continental Integration Compensation Funding Mechanism (ICFM) to balance some of these loses. The ICFM would be developed and managed by the African Development Bank, the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa and the African Union.
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