海底备件分析优化

T. Coffey, C. Rai, J. Greene, Stephen O’Brien Bromley
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目的是提出一种完全定量的方法,结合可靠性、可用性和可维护性(RAM)分析和成本效益分析(CBA)方法,以确定海底组件的最佳节约策略,同时考虑可靠性数据、交货时间、可用性和成本。该方法可用于资产生命周期的任何阶段,从设计到运行,并且可以根据整个油田生命周期的变化进行调整。使用市售的RAM分析软件Maros[2],构建可靠性框图(RBD)来表示被分析系统的可靠性结构和逻辑。然后在模型中确定适合备件的可回收部件,以检查和更新每个部件的故障模式和可靠性信息。可靠性信息可以基于项目特定数据或来自行业范围的数据源,如OREDA。RAM分析软件使用蒙特卡罗模拟技术来确定可用性。然后进行敏感性分析,以确定最大可用性,同时保持所需备件的最低库存水平。然后,除了RAM敏感性分析之外,还会执行备用优先因子(SPF)分析,以支持这些结果,并考虑备用的购买、存储和保存成本。SPF对储存成本和对生产的潜在影响进行加权。SPF是一个数字,用来确定一个组件是否需要有一个备用的。SPF值越高,表示对备用设备的需求越高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Subsea Spare Parts Analysis Optimisation
The main objective of this paper is to present a fully quantitative methodology combining reliability, availability and maintainability (RAM) analysis and cost-benefit analysis (CBA) approaches to determine the optimum sparing strategy for subsea components considering reliability data, lead times, availability and cost. This methodology can be utilized at any stage of an asset lifecycle, from design to operation and can be adjusted to reflect modifications throughout the life of field. Using commercially available RAM analysis software, Maros [2], a reliability block diagram (RBD) is constructed to represent the reliability structure and logic of the system being analyzed. Retrievable components, for which spares would be suitable, are then identified within the model to review and update the failure modes and reliability information for each component. Reliability information can be based on project specific data or from industry-wide sources such as OREDA. The RAM analysis software uses the Monte-Carlo simulation technique to determine availability. A sensitivity analysis is then performed to determine maximum availability while holding the minimum required stock level of spare components. A sparing priority factor (SPF) analysis is then performed in addition to the RAM sensitivity analysis to support those results and consider spare purchase, storage and preservation costs. The SPF gives a weighting to the storage cost against the potential impact on production. The SPF is a number used to determine a component’s need to have a spare. A high SPF indicates an increased requirement to hold a spare.
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