基于神经网络预测的电力数据模型挖掘与分析

Shaodong Zhao
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摘要

近年来,随着我国经济结构的转型,居民消费水平逐步提高,商业银行各类消费信贷业务量急剧增加,使银行的风险管控工作面临巨大挑战。传统的风险评估方法主要依靠信贷人员的市场经验。风险评估结果受个人主观因素影响较大。此外,面对日益增长的数据量和业务量,传统的评估方法效率低下,业务周期长,准确性差。这很难保证。因此,本文旨在研究电商数据在商业银行个人信用风险评估中的应用。在分析个人信用风险产生的原因、个人信用风险的特点以及电力数据在个人信用风险评估中的应用的基础上,通过神经网络的数据挖掘方法建立了个人信用评估模型,并对模型进行了预测。预测结果表明,该模型对训练数据集的整体预测准确率为86%,对测试数据集的预测准确率为78%。该神经网络模型具有预测精度高、数据要求低、预测效果好的特点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mining and Analysis of Power Data Models Based on Neural Network Prediction
In recent years, with the transformation of our country’s economic structure, the consumption level of residents has gradually increased, and the volume of various consumer credit businesses of commercial banks has increased sharply, which has made the bank’s risk management and control work facing huge challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods mainly rely on the market experience of credit personnel. The results of risk assessment are greatly affected by personal subjective factors. In addition, in the face of increasing data volume and business volume, traditional assessment methods are inefficient, have long business cycles, and are accurate. It is difficult to guarantee. Therefore, this article aims to study the application of electricity data in personal credit risk assessment of commercial banks. On the basis of analyzing the causes of personal credit risk, the characteristics of personal credit risk and the application of electricity data in personal credit risk assessment, a personal credit assessment model is established through the data mining method of neural network, and the model is predicted. The prediction results show that the overall prediction accuracy rate of the model on the training data set is 86%, and the prediction accuracy rate of the test data set is 78%. The neural network model has high prediction accuracy, low data requirements and good results.
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