现实主义透视俄乌战争下的哈萨克斯坦外交政策——以乌克兰为例

Jingqi Cai, Xinkai Xiang, H. Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

哈萨克斯坦是世界上最大的内陆国,在中亚地区发挥着重要作用。它曾经和乌克兰一样属于苏联,在历史、与俄罗斯的关系等方面与哈萨克斯坦有一些相似之处。在2022年2月24日俄乌战争开始后,哈萨克斯坦是否会成为下一个乌克兰成为了人们争论的话题。本文分析了这种可能性、哈萨克斯坦的国情及其外交政策。此外,国际关系三大理论之一的现实主义被用来解释和预测哈萨克斯坦政府的行为。结果表明,哈萨克斯坦不太可能卷入像俄乌战争这样的战争。然而,哈萨克斯坦可能会在外交政策上寻求更加“多载体”的方式,这可以从其与中国、土耳其等其他国家在经济、军事等方面的合作中得到证明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Kazakhstan’s Foreign Policy under the Russia Ukraine War with Realism——A Comparison of Ukraine
Kazakhstan is the biggest landlocked country in the world and plays an important role in Central Asia. It used to belong to the USSR like Ukraine, which shares some similarities with Kazakhstan in the aspect of history, the relation with Russia and so on. After the 24th of February in 2022, when the Russia Ukraine war has begun, whether Kazakhstan could be the next Ukraine has become a topic under debate. In this article, the possibility and Kazakhstan’s condition as well as its foreign policy are analysed. Furthermore, realism, one of the three main theories in the international relations is used to explain and predict the behaviour of Kazakh’s government. Result indicates that Kazakhstan is less possible for it to be involved in a war like Russia Ukraine war. However, Kazakhstan may seek a more "multi-vector" way in its foreign policy which can be proved in its cooperation with other countries like China and Turkey in the aspect of economy and military and so on.
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