Rifki Khoirudin
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摘要

本研究旨在利用矢量误差修正模型(VECM)分析2010年1月至2020年12月期间印尼盾兑美元汇率的宏观指标。在建模中,针对印尼盾对美元的汇率使用了几个宏观经济变量,即出口、进口、货币供应和通货膨胀。这种类型的研究使用定量方法。本研究结果表明,在长期和短期内,出口变量对印尼盾兑美元汇率都有显著的负向影响。从长期和短期来看,进口变量对印尼盾对美元的汇率都有显著的积极影响。在长期和短期内,货币供应量和通货膨胀变量对印尼盾兑美元汇率没有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analisis Indikator Makro Terhadap Kurs Di Indonesia
This study aims to analyze macro indicators against the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in the period January 2010 to December 2020. In the modeling, several macroeconomic variables are used against the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar, namely export, import, money supply, and inflation. This type of research uses a quantitative approach. The results of this study indicate that in the long and short term, the export variable has a significant negative effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar. In the long and short term, the import variable has a significant positive effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar. And in the long and short term, the money supply and inflation variables has no significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar.
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