基于支持向量回归方法的风速预测——以lome站点为例

K. A. Dotche, Adekunlé Akim Salami, K. M. Kodjo, Hadnane Ouro-Agbake, K. Bedja
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在利用基于回归(SVR)模型的支持向量机(SVM)预测每小时平均风速。用于回归的SVM是机器学习监督预测方法的一部分,在最近几十年被证明是非常有效的。在Python编译器中使用线性规划方法实现SVR算法。风速数据从洛美气象中心检索。对该模型进行了仿真,并与实测数据进行了比较。结果均方误差(MSE)为0.128,决定系数(R2)为0.962。结果表明,采用SVR模型时,基于风速小时平均值的一致性建模可以实现先验风速的实时预测,最终有助于高效风力发电。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wind Speed Prediction Based on Support Vector Regression Method: a Case Study of Lome-Site
This study aims at predicting the hourly mean wind speed using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) based on a regression (SVR) model. The SVM for regression is part of the machine learning supervision for prediction methods that have proven very effective in recent decades. A linear programming method in Python compiler was used to implement the SVR algorithm. The wind speed data were retrieved from the meteorological center in Lome. The simulation of the model has been performed and compared to the measured data. Significant results were obtained with a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.128, and the coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.962. The results have indicated that a real time prediction of the wind speed in prior could be achieved with a consistent modelling based on the hourly average of the wind speed when using the SVR model, which may ultimately contribute to an efficient wind energy generation.
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