埃塞俄比亚奥罗米亚地区西格莫地区人口、农田面积和森林覆盖的变化模式

Getu Lemma, Yechale Kebede, Zenabu Alena
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摘要

在世界人口超过70亿的同时,资源限制和环境退化日益明显。本文分析了种群动态与森林退化之间的关系。该研究利用埃塞俄比亚西南部Sigmo地区30年来(1985-2015年)基于GIS的信息,量化了人口增长对森林砍伐率的影响。该研究采用了一种混合的方法,包括定量和定性方法。使用描述性统计技术,如频率和百分比,并以表格、图形、图表和卫星图像地图的形式呈现。采用Pearson相关系数等推理统计来证明因变量(森林面积和耕地面积)和自变量(人口增长)之间的关联程度。研究结果显示,研究区域的人口增长非常迅速(2.9% /年)。人口的快速增长对该地区的森林资源产生了不利的影响,包括农业用地的扩张、燃料木材的消耗、定居点的扩张、建筑木材的采伐和商业伐木。因此,从1985年到2015年,研究区森林覆盖率减少了近一半(48.8%),而农田面积增加了约124%。这些反过来又造成土壤侵蚀和土壤肥力丧失、生物多样性枯竭、水流中断和沙漠化蔓延
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PATTERNS OF CHANGE IN POPULATION, FARMLAND SIZE AND FOREST COVER IN SIGMO DISTRICT OF OROMIA REGION, ETHIOPIA
The world population is exceeding seven billion at the same time when resource limits and environmental degradation are becoming more apparent every day. This paper analyzes the nexus between population dynamics and forest degradation. The study quantified the effect of human population growth on rates of deforestation using GIS based information taken for 30 years (1985-2015) in Sigmo district, South Western Ethiopia. A mixed approach, comprising of both quantitative and qualitative methods, is used for the study. Descriptive statistical techniques such as frequencies and percentages are employed and presented in tables, graphs, charts, and satellite image maps. Inferential statistics such as, Pearson correlation coefficient are implemented to demonstrate the degree of association between the dependent (forest area and farmland size) and independent variables (population growth). The findings of the study revealed that the population of the study area has grown very rapidly (2.9% /year). The rapidly growing population adversely impacted the forest resource of the area in a way of agricultural land expansion, fuel wood consumption, settlement expansion, timber harvest for construction and commercial logging. Thus, between 1985 and 2015, forest cover of the study area got reduced nearly by half (48.8%) while farm lands expanded by about 124%. These, in turn, have resulted in soil erosion and loss of soil fertility, depletion of biodiversity, interruption of water flows, and the spread of desertification
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