深度学习技术与统计模型在预测外国游客到印度模式上的比较性能分析

J. Saivijayalakshmi, N. Ayyanathan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

印度一直是一个主要的旅游目的地,因为它有多样化的文化、地理、历史,也是世界上最古老的文明。鉴于印度旅游业的巨大增长潜力,我们迫切需要一个可靠和准确的旅游需求预测解决方案。我们回顾了基于时间序列和回归方法的各种研究论文。它们的计算简单,并能给出预测外国游客数量的初步数据。我们的旅游业增长潜力需要更准确的预测,这需要探索其他方法。我们发现“深度学习技术”非常有用。利用时间序列方法如Holtwinter、自回归综合移动平均和长短期记忆(LSTM)来准确预测印度的外国游客人数。根据我们的分析,与传统技术相比,预测外国到印度旅游人数的最佳模型是LSTM。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparative Performance Analysis of Deep Learning Technique with Statistical models on forecasting the Foreign Tourists arrival pattern to India
India always remains a major Tourist destination, given its diverse culture, geography, history and also being the oldest civilization in the world. In view of India’s enormous potential for growth in Tourism, its imperative that we need a reliable and accurate Tourism demand forecasting solution. We reviewed various research papers based on Time-series & Regression methods. They are simple to compute values and also bring out forecasting tentative data of foreign tourist arrivals. Our tourism growth potential demanded more accurate forecasting which called for exploring other methods. We found "Deep Learning Techniques", are highly useful. Time series methods such as Holtwinter, Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average and Long-short term memory (LSTM) are used to predict accurately foreign Tourist Visitors to India. Based on our analysis, the best model for predicting Tourist arrivals to India from foreign countries is LSTM, compared with traditional techniques.
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