基于Tunami-F1和机器学习的印尼巽他弧实时海啸预警系统仪表板开发

Dhedy Husada Fajar Pradana, E. Wiguna, Amien Rusdiutomo, Ayu Novitasari Saputri, M. Wibowo, W. Hendriyono
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度尼西亚的大多数海啸都是近场海啸,因此快速的海啸预警系统对于将风险降到最低至关重要。这项研究旨在为海啸预警系统建立一个仪表板的原型,可以在最初的五分钟内提供海啸预测。该仪表板原型的主要功能是基于波浪传播的水动力建模和海啸人工智能(AI)建模,在接收到具有海啸潜力的地震数据时同时运行。人工智能模型只需要几秒钟就能预测海啸的高度和到达受影响地点的时间,而水动力波传播模型需要几分钟才能完成这项任务。而后一种模式的结果更为准确和完整,如海平面高度和估计到达时间。本研究结果表明,仪表板原型结合两种模型的结果,可以快速准确地显示海啸预测结果。然后将结果和其他数据汇编成海啸公报并分发给主管当局。本研究可作为在海啸传播建模中应用人工智能开发海啸预警仪表板系统的考虑因素之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of Real-Time Tsunami Early Warning System Dashboard Based on Tunami-F1 and Machine Learning in Sunda Arc, Indonesia
The majority of tsunamis in Indonesia are nearfield tsunamis, therefore a quick tsunami early warning system is essential to minimize the risk. This study aimed to build a prototype of the dashboard for tsunami early warning systems that can provide tsunami prediction within the first five minutes. This prototype of the dashboard has the main function to predict the occurrence of tsunamis based on hydrodynamic modeling of wave propagation and tsunami artificial intelligence (AI) modeling which runs simultaneously when receiving earthquake data with tsunami potential. The AI model needs just a few seconds to predict tsunami heights and arrival times at affected locations, while the hydrodynamic wave propagation model needs a few minutes to complete the task. However, the results from the latter model are more accurate and complete, such as sea level elevation and the estimated time of arrival. The result of this study shows that the dashboard prototype can quickly and accurately display the results of tsunami predictions by combining the results of the two models. The results and other data are then compiled into a tsunami bulletin and distributed to competent authorities. This study is expected to be used as one of the considerations in developing a dashboard system for tsunami early warning by applying AI in addition to tsunami propagation modeling.
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