家庭偏好的变化取决于收入是永久性的还是临时性的:时间不一致问题和股权溢价之谜的解答

Taiji Harashima
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通常假设一个家庭的偏好不会随时间变化,也不会取决于它们所应用的对象,但这种假设通常与经验估计不一致,例如,时间偏好率和股权溢价难题的时间不一致问题。我表明,这些不一致的产生是因为一个家庭的偏好取决于它们是适用于永久收入还是临时收入。适用于永久性收入的优惠被固定在稳定状态或平衡增长路径上,但适用于临时收入的优惠则不是。因此,前者是固定不变的,而后者可以根据条件取不同的值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Household’s Preferences Vary Depending on Whether Incomes Are Permanent or Temporary: A Solution to the Time-Inconsistency Problem and Equity-Premium Puzzle
A household’s preferences are usually assumed not to vary temporally or depending on the objects to which they are applied, but this assumption is often inconsistent with empirical estimates, for example, with the time-inconsistency problem of the time preference rate and the equity-premium puzzle. I show that these inconsistencies are generated because a household’s preferences vary depending on whether they are applied to permanent or temporary incomes. Preferences applied to permanent incomes are anchored to the steady state or a balanced growth path, but those for temporary incomes are not. Hence, the former is fixed and unchanged, but the latter can take various values depending on conditions. 
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