基于模糊TODIM方法的应急决策犹豫模糊语言模型

Liang Wang, Yingming Wang, Rosa M. Rodríguez, L. Martínez
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引用次数: 7

摘要

近年来,由于多次突发事件的频繁发生,造成了重大的社会和经济损失,应急决策的重要性日益凸显。当需要减轻财产和生命损失以及减少对社会和环境发展的负面影响时,电火花加工发挥着相关作用。现实世界的电火花加工问题通常具有复杂性、时间限制、信息缺乏和心理行为的影响等特点,这对决策者来说是一项非常具有挑战性的任务。这一特征表明需要处理不同类型的不确定性和管理行为来面对这些问题。本文提出了一种新的应急决策模型,该模型首先利用模糊语言信息对决策者在不确定情况下产生的主观信息进行建模,并利用犹豫模糊语言项集对决策者的犹豫进行建模,以评估其判断。其次,运用前景理论在模糊环境下整合决策者的心理行为。最后,通过实例验证了该决策模型的有效性和适用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hesitant fuzzy linguistic model for emergency decision making based on fuzzy TODIM method
The importance of emergency decision making (EDM) has grown up in recent years because of the frequent occurrence of multiple emergency events (EEs) that have caused important social and economic losses. EDM plays a relevant role when it is necessary to mitigate property and lives losses and reducing the negative impacts on the social and environmental development. Real-world EDM problems are usually characterized by complexity, hard time constraints, lack of information and the impact of the psychological behaviors which makes it very challenging task for the decision maker. This characterization shows the need of dealing with different types of uncertainty and the managing of behaviors to face these problems. This contribution proposes a new emergency decision model that first, uses fuzzy linguistic information to model the subjective information elicited by the decision maker under uncertainty and also the modelling of his/her hesitancy for assessing his/her judgements by using hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets. Second it integrates the decision maker's psychological behavior by using the prospect theory in a fuzzy based environment. Finally, an example of application of the decision model is carried out to show its validity and applicability.
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