新兴市场与国际金融架构

J. Kregel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如果新兴市场要实现加入工业化发达国家行列的目标,它们必须利用其经济和政治影响力来支持国际金融体系的根本变革。本工作报告推荐约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)的“清算联盟”(clearing union),将其作为国际金融架构改革的蓝图,以比当前方法更有效地解决新兴市场的不满。凯恩斯关于战后国际体系的建议,试图纠正新兴市场经济体目前面临的一些同样问题。它基于这样一种理念,即金融稳定是建立在长期进出口平衡的基础上的,任何偏离平衡的情况都将由债权国通过全球清算所或经常账户贸易和支付结算系统自动为借方提供融资。这消除了进出口的国家货币支付;各国以固定于本国货币的名义记帐单位接受贷记或借记。由于记帐单位不能交易、买卖,因此它不会成为国际储备货币。在票据交换所的信贷只能用于购买进口商品来抵消借方,如果不用于这一目的,它们最终将被消灭;因此,调整的负担将由各国平等分担——盈余产生的信贷将不得不用于从有借方余额的国家购买进口产品。新兴市场经济体可以将这一提议作为模板,利用名义记账单位创建地区清算联盟,从而改进目前针对地区治理金融机构的计划。JEL分类:E42;E52;F12;N44。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Emerging markets and the international financial architecture
If emerging markets are to achieve their objective of joining the ranks of industrialized, developed countries, they must use their economic and political influence to support radical change in the international financial system. This working paper recommends John Maynard Keynes’s “clearing union” as a blueprint for reform of the international financial architecture that could address emerging market grievances more effectively than current approaches. Keynes’s proposal for the postwar international system sought to remedy some of the same problems currently facing emerging market economies. It was based on the idea that financial stability was predicated on a balance between imports and exports over time, with any divergence from balance providing automatic financing of the debit countries by the creditor countries via a global clearinghouse or settlement system for trade and payments on current account. This eliminated national currency payments for imports and exports; countries received credits or debits in a notional unit of account fixed to national currency. Since the unit of account could not be traded, bought, or sold, it would not be an international reserve currency. The credits with the clearinghouse could only be used to offset debits by buying imports, and if not used for this purpose they would eventually be extinguished; hence the burden of adjustment would be shared equally—credit generated by surpluses would have to be used to buy imports from the countries with debit balances. Emerging market economies could improve upon current schemes for regionally governed financial institutions by using this proposal as a template for the creation of regional clearing unions using a notional unit of account. JEL Classification: E42; E52; F12; N44.
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